Julian Alden

The AI Story Goes on Trial This Morning. Here’s What a Verdict Actually Looks Like.

Earnings Dispatch — October 20 Big Tech Reports Today. Analysts Say These Numbers Will Decide Whether the AI Story Survives — or Whether the Selloff Accelerates Into Year-End. The largest technology companies report earnings today, and the market has reduced this moment to a single question: is the AI investment cycle

The Fed Chair Named a Demand Shock — The Market Called It Bullish

Fed Dispatch — October 19 Walsh Was in Bangkok. He Said Nothing About October 27. The Market Is Pricing an 86% Chance of a Pause. The Archive Reads What the AI Shock Actually Does to That Number. The Federal Reserve raised rates a quarter point in September — the first hike since

The best day for the Dow in a month was built on silence, not data.

Markets Dispatch — October 16 The Dow Posted Its Best Day in a Month. The Ten-Year Fell to 5.09%. The Dollar Dropped 0.54%. Gold Is at $4,194. Kevin Walsh Said Almost Nothing — and That Was Enough. Thursday's session closed with the Dow up 1.08%

Gold hit $4,167 and the dollar hit an 18-month high on the same data

CPI Dispatch — October 15 The Dollar Is at an 18-Month High. Gold Is Up 1.4% to $4,167. The Ten-Year Yield Spiked to 5.30% on the CPI Print Before Settling at 5.08–5.20%. The Archive Reads What Today's Data Actually Settled. October

Iran's New Tactic Against Shipping: Anonymous, Unverified, and Already Moving Oil

Shipping Intelligence — October 14 Iran Has Shifted Tactics Against Shipping. Anonymous Officials Say the Goal Is Brent Above $100 — and the U.S. Midterms. The Archive Reads What That Disclosure Actually Means. Iranian officials told Reuters that approximately ten days ago Tehran shifted to new offensive tactics against commercial shipping

Goldman Beat Its Number by $4 a Share and JPMorgan Missed for the First Time in Years

Earnings Audit — October 13 Goldman Beat Its Number by $4 a Share. JPMorgan Missed for the First Time in Years. The Archive Reads What Q3 Bank Earnings Actually Say About the Rate Cycle. Goldman Sachs: $17.01 per share versus $13.02 expected — a $3.99 beat, shares up ~4%

A Houthi Missile Killed 13 People at Riyadh’s Airport on Saturday — Including an American — and They Hit It Again on Sunday

Energy Price Audit — October 12 A Houthi Missile Hit Riyadh's International Airport and Killed 13 People — Including an American. The War Just Changed Its Character. Saturday: a ballistic missile struck King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh. Twelve dead on impact — four Saudis, two Bangladeshis, one American, one Jordanian,

“No Attack Before the Election” — What Trump’s Post Confirms, What It Doesn’t, and Why $98 Brent Is Not a Resolution

Energy Price Audit — October 9 Trump Posted "No Iran Strike Before the Election" — and Brent Gave Back $5 in Three Hours on a Truth Social Post With No Sourcing Brent closed yesterday at $104.20 on two simultaneous catalysts: Iran strike preparations reported by Reuters and Yahoo Finance,

Brent Hit $104 This Morning — Iran Strike Preparations and a Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Hit the Market on the Same Day.

Energy Price Audit — October 8 Brent Above $104 This Morning — Strike Preparations Against Iran and Gulf of Mexico Shutdowns Hit the Market Simultaneously Brent crude is trading above $104, up roughly 2% from yesterday's close near $102. WTI is near $90. Two simultaneous drivers: reports of active preparations

Houthis Hit Riyadh at Dawn for the First Time — Brent Is Moving Toward $102 and the Same Five Cities Got Hit Again.

Breaking Energy Audit — October 7 Houthis Hit Five Saudi Cities at Dawn Including Riyadh — Brent Moves Toward $102 as the Diplomatic Deadlock Produces Its First Military Consequence Houthi spokesman Yahya Sarea announced coordinated drone and ballistic missile strikes this morning against airports and military installations across Saudi Arabia — Riyadh, Abha,

Brent Crossed $100 Again This Morning — and the G7 Just Released 100 Million Barrels That Barely Moved the Price

Full Energy Market Audit The Complete Oil Picture: From $66 in February to $100 Today — What Moved the Price, What Is Moving It Now, and the Three Scenarios That Determine Where It Goes Next Brent crude is at $100.84 this morning — up 54% from a year ago, up from

Iran Named Seven Conditions, Trump Called It "Trump Strait," and the Gaps Are "Very Big" With 29 Days Until the Election.

War Diplomacy Audit Iran Rejected the U.S. Proposal, Labeled Hormuz Sovereign Territory, and Named Seven Conditions. Trump Posted a Map Calling It "Trump Strait" and Said "Easy Way or Hard Way." The diplomatic track has hit its clearest impasse since February. Iran proposed a seven-